An article I created for Rufus on Fire, SBNation: 

The Season of 2010 (48 Games)

by Frank S. Collins

Many fans have wondered how the Bobcats and other NBA playoff teams would have fared this season if they had their current roster for the entire season?  The best indication of this is to look at the win/loss record of the games played after many of the key roster adjustments were made.

How would the season have ended if only the games played on or after January 1, 2010 counted?  While the number of games played in 2010 onward varied by team, the most games played by any one team in 2010 was 48.  Therefore I set 48 games as the base.  I counted the first 48 games played in 2010 for each playoff team to see how they would compare with each other.

Nba-eastern-conference_medium

 

  • 35-13 Cleveland
  • 33-15 Orlando
  • 32-16 Milwaukee
  • 30-18 Charlotte
  • 29-19 Atlanta
  • 28-20 Miami
  • 26-22 Boston
  • 25-23 Chicago

Charlotte would have the #4 seed and home court advantage against the Atlanta Hawks.  Milwaukee would have the #3 seed and face Miami at home.  Boston would be struggling with Orlando.  With the scenario above, the Bobcats would be favored to knock off the Hawks and then likely face the Cavaliers in the 2nd round.  With a 3-1 record against the Cavs this year, the Bobcats would have a shot at reaching the Eastern Conference Finals.  This scenario could be a predictor of how the Bobcats finish next year if they maintain their current roster.

How would the West stack up?  I used the same 48 game formula above.  For tiebreakers I only looked at games played after January 1, 2010.  Utah would much prefer the #1 seed to the #5 seed.  Can the Lakers beat the Thunder without the home court advantage?  Maybe next season we will know.

Nba-western-conference-championship-odds_medium

 

  • 34-14 Utah
  • 32-16 Phoenix (wins tiebreaker)
  • 32-16 Denver
  • 31-17 OK City (wins tiebreaker)
  • 31-17 LA Lakers (2nd in tiebreaker)
  • 31-17 Dallas
  • 29-19 Portland
  • 29-19 San Antonio

 

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